Shakur Stevenson vs Edwin de los Santos betting preview: Odds & picks
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Shakur Stevenson vs Edwin de los Santos betting preview: Odds & picks

Nov 15, 2023

The boxing and sports world as a whole will have its focus on the Shakur Stevenson vs Edwin de los Santos bout set to take place on Thursday, November 16th.

The fight will take place at T-Mobile Arena in Las Vegas and will be airing on ESPN+ with the event set to begin at 8:30 PM EST and the main event scheduled for 11:30 PM EST. At 26 years old, Stevenson is attempting to become a three-weight world champion by taking on Edwin de los Santos to become the WBC world lightweight champion which was vacated by Devin Haney.

This matchup will take place at the 135-pound weight class and is scheduled for 12 rounds in the Lightweight division. Here is a look at the Stevenson vs de los Santos betting odds and an overall breakdown of what to expect for the fight.

Current Shakur Stevenson vs Edwin de los Santos odds

Unsurprisingly, Shakur Stevenson enters as the massive favorite in this fight. The undefeated fighter enters with more experience and a more impressive resume. He has all the makings of one of the best pound-for-pound fighters in the world and is still climbing toward the peak of his career. While the odds have shortened since they initially came out in favor of Shakur Stevenson, you can currently get the odds at:

Shakur Stevenson’s latest matches and form

Shakur Stevenson enters with an undefeated 20-0 record with 10 of his 20 wins coming via knockout. His last fight was a 6th-round TKO over Shuichiro Yoshino which occurred in April 2023. Stevenson was dominant from start to finish in this fight.

Before that, he defeated Robson Conceicao by unanimous decision but was stripped of his two 130-pound titles governed by the WBO and WBC for failing to make weight. Stevenson also defeated Oscar Valdez by unanimous decision, Jamel Herring by TKO, and Jeremia Nakathila by unanimous decision in the three fights prior. These last five fights have come over a period of 2 years, 5 months, and 4 days, meaning he has been fighting on an average of 5 months in 26 days. These fights have lasted 10.4 rounds on average. 

Standing 5-foot-8 and with a 68-inch reach, Shakur Stevenson fights as a southpaw. He made his professional debut in 2017 and has fought 85 more professional rounds compared to Edwin de los Santos. Stevenson is a masterful combination artist who often inflicts his damage in four-punch sequences. He also has a really impressive defensive style in which he moves fluently around the ring with his advanced footwork.

While he may not have as much name recognition as fighters such as Gervonta Davis or Devon Haney, there is plenty of excitement surrounding Stecenon’s future as he checks every box for what you want in a fighter. 

Edwin de los Santos’s latest matches and form

Edwin de los Santos enters this fight with a 16-1 record with 14 of his wins coming via knockout. He is riding a three-fight winning streak, but Stevenson will be the toughest fight of his career.

Most recently, de los Santos defeated Joseph Adorno by unanimous decision in a fight that took place in July 2023. He also defeated Jose Valenzuela and Luis Acosta each by knockouts in his two fights prior. His lone loss was via a split decision against William Foster III. He has fought just 48 professional rounds, compared to the 133 that Stevenson has fought, and started his professional career in 2018. Edwin de los Santos’ last five fights have come over a period of 2 years, 6 months, and 1 day, meaning he has been fighting on an average of every 6 months and 2 days. These fights have lasted 5.2 rounds on average. 

Also standing 5-foot-8 and fighting out of the southpaw stance, Edwin de los Santos has a slight reach advantage at 70-inches. Santos is also considered to have the power advantage in the matchup although he is not as polished from the overall boxing standpoint. The Dominican native is two years younger than Stevenson and has been praised by his opponent in the lead-up to the fight.

The 87.5% knockout percentage Edwin de los Santos has tallied is extremely impressive as is his 10.6 significant strikes he averages per round.

Stevenson vs de los Santos betting picks. 21+ Please play responsibly. NCPG

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Stevenson vs de los Santos betting picks. 21+ Please play responsibly. NCPG

Shakur Stevenson vs Edwin de los Santos betting picks

While Shakur Stevenson will be the toughest matchup Edwin de los Santos has faced in his boxing career, his raw power will be enough to keep Stevenson on edge. The bookmakers heavily favor Shakur Stevenson but there are plenty of ways in which you wager on the fight to make it more profitable. Here is a look at the most intriguing betting odds and gambling analysis for boxing picks that may be worth capitalizing on. 

Fight will not go the distance @ +240 odds [BetMGM]

The lines are juiced in favor of this fight coming down to a decision. On BetMGM Sportsbook the odds are -334 that it will go the distance and -250 that Shakur Stevenson wins by decision. There is no doubt that Stevenson will be content picking apart Edwin de los Santos slowly and relying on his boxing skills to shine as the fight progresses.

Stevenson is a patient fighter who will be comfortable leaning on his advanced technique as his primary strategy for this boxing fight rather than seeking out a knockout punch. But on the other side of things, look for de los Santos to seek out the opportunity to unleash his power throughout the fight. This opens the door for knockout on both sides as Stevenson can catch him on a counter and possesses knockout ability himself.

You also can bet the under of 10.5 rounds at +275 odds but by wagering on it not to go the distance it allows you to cash your bet if a knockout happens in the final moments.

🥊 Bet on the fight not to go the distance at +240 with BetMGM 🥊

Shakur Stevenson win by decision @ -250 odds [BetRivers]

While -250 odds are still extremely steep, this knocks a significant price off the -1115 odds for Shakur Stevenson to win on the moneyline. It does not hold the expected value for most betting predictions but, this is an intriguing way to shrink the line to wager on the favorite. Expect de los Santos to do his best to run with Stevenson and track him around the ring but, as all 20 previous fighters have found out, this is not an easy task. Stevenson will rely on a tactical performance in which he is patient in his attack. 

Especially considering the toughness, durability, and strength of de los Santos, all signs point to a decision being in play here. If the fight script goes according to Stevenson’s plan, it will take a few rounds before things open up and he will be very calculated in his attack. Stevenson will not rush the issue in the matchup and it will be up to de los Santos to dictate how much he attacks.

The -250 odds are steep in their lonesome, but keep this in mind as a potential leg of a parlay along with Thursday Night Football, NBA, or College Basketball which will also be played on Thursday. All of the Stevenson betting odds come with a high price point so anything you can do to cut the value in your predictions can prove to be valuable.

🥊 Bet on Stevenson to win by decision at -250 odds with BetRivers 🥊

Edwin de los Santos to win by KO, TKO, or disqualification – +1100 odds [bet365]

If Edwin de los Santos wants to have any chance to come out of this fight victorious, he cannot afford to leave it up to the judges. While the +700 underdog has appealing odds to win straight up, you can increase this potential value by wagering on the specific finish. The Dominican has more powerful knockout power and will be searching for the right opportunity to capitalize.

This has been the blueprint for him thus far in his professional career, as evidenced by the 14 knockouts in his 16 wins. There is much more value in the knockout line compared to the +700 moneyline value so if you believe in Edwin de los Santos, it is better to roll the dice with this wager. While this is not a pick that should make your best bets list if you believe in Edwin de los Santos to get the victory this is the way to wager.

🥊 Bet on de los Santos to win by KO/TKO/DQ at +1100 with bet365 🥊

What’s the weight category of the Stevenson vs de los Santos fight?

This fight will take place with the WBC lightweight title on the line meaning they will be under the 135-pound and 61-kilogram limit. Shakur Stevenson also has held the WBP featherweight title and WBO and WBC unified junior lightweight championship. 

Who has more professional matches, Stevenson or de los Santos?

After starting his professional career in 2017, Shakur Stevenson has 20 professional matches in his career. Edwin de los Santos started his career about a year later and has competed in 17 matches in his career thus far. Both boxers have a bright future at the ages of 26 and 24. 

Who has more wins in their professional career, Shakur Stevenson or Edwin de los Santos?

Shakur Stevenson has more wins in his professional career as shown by his perfect 20-0 record. Edwin de los Santos is not far behind with 16 wins thus far in his professional boxing career.

Who has more KOs in their career, Stevenson or de los Santos? 

Despite having fewer wins in his career, Edwin de los Santos has tallied more KOs as he has knocked out his opponents in 14 of his 17 professional fights. In comparison, Shakur Stevenson has only tallied a knockout in 10 of his 20 career wins. 

What’s on the line if either fighter wins?

These two fighters will be squaring off and fighting for the vacant WBC lightweight title. This 135-pound belt was left undisputed after Devin Haney abandoned it in order to go up to 140 pounds. This is de los Santos’s first opportunity to compete for a world title while Stevenson has already been crowned the champion at the WBO featherweight level and won the WBO junior lightweight title. Whoever secures the victory between Stevenson v de los Santos will rightfully claim the title belt. 

What is the WBC Lightweight Title?

There are 17 weight classes in professional boxing and five major recognized belts for each of the divisions. The World Boxing Council (WBC) is one of the four recognized major bodies of boxing. Devin Haney currently owns the lightweight title for the WBA, IBF, WBO, and The Ring. Haney is still considered the WBC champion in recess but the winner of the Stevenson vs de los Santos fight will take his place. 

Are there any undercard fights that you should pay attention to?

In addition to the Shakur Stevenson vs Edwin de los Santos title bout, there is a co-main event in which Emanuel Navarrete will defend his WBO super featherweight title against Robson Conceicao. Both fighters are considered a contender for higher-ticket fights in the future and will be looking to shine in the matchup. Navarrete is considered the significant favorite and holds -1000 odds on BetMGM. He enters the fight having a 38-1 all-time record and having won 33 consecutive matches leading up to this fight. Concericao holds a 17-2 professional record with one of his losses coming at the hands of Shakur Stevenson back in 2022. 

In addition, Brian Norman Jr will be squaring off with Quinton Randall in a welterweight fight. While not quite as massive of a favorite as the main events, Brian Norman Jr is still considered a significant favorite with his odds hovering around -600. Further down on the card, Floyd Diaz will take on Max Ornelas in a Junior Featherweight bout, Troy Isley will fight Vladimir Hernandez at the middleweight class, Abdullah Mason will square off with Jose Cardenas in a lightweight bout, and Andres Cortes will fight Freddy Donseca at the middleweight class.

Best state sportsbooks to bet on the fight

About the author

Sean Barnard

Sean Barnard has worked in sports media for the past five years. He has spent time as the 76ers Lead Writer for Philly Sports Network, Associate Editor at CluchPoints, Eagles Beat Reporter for YardBarker, and more. He also owns and operates his own Podcast Network called Pick Swap Media and is a radio host on Fox 102.5 The Gambler presented by iHeartMedia. Sean has written over 1500 articles and recorded over 500 podcasts and is just getting started. Based out of the Philadelphia region in the United States, Sean is a lifelong passionate sports fan who can be reached on Twitter at @Sean_Barnard1 where he rattles off basketball breakdowns and other news.

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